Friday, 10 February 2012

Kempton "Jumpers for Bumpers" 10th February

Barwell Bridge - 4:25pm Kempton Park

1pt win at 7/2 pretty much everywhere although Hills are 10/3. As always go for the Best Odds Guaranteed firms.

With jumpers for bumpers type racing the following two attributes are very important:

1) Goes on the surface
2) Decent flat record.

This horse ticks both boxes and furthermore is a course winner. The recent form over hurdles is good - albeit over a longer trip. However he is a winner over 1m2f at this course and is a 'pace' horse. This style of running is of a great advanage around this course.

The only negative is that under new trainer Warren Greatrex, new tactics have been developed. These are for the horse to be held up. Given that it is quite well known that front running horses fair better around the AW at Kempton the previous tactics may not be deployed. Also the distance over 2m reduces the problem but the horse can still find problems in running. There are 16 runners in this race and whilst they will not all be grouped together at the final bend, there will still be several horses - which as any seasoned backer at Kempton would tell you: its still more then enough!

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